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Risk Management

Risk Parameters

Result

Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (CVaR) calculator.

Value at Risk (VaR)

$4,914.94

$4,914.94 (4.91% % of portfolio)

Conditional VaR (CVaR)

$6,163.53

Expected loss beyond VaR cutoff

Deterministic Stress Scenarios

Mechanical portfolio-value shocks with no assigned probability. They do not use volatility, horizon, or confidence and are not forecasts.
ScenarioShockLossValue After ShockLoss / VaR
Moderate decline-5.00%$5,000.00$95,000.001.02x
Severe decline-10.00%$10,000.00$90,000.002.03x
Extreme decline-20.00%$20,000.00$80,000.004.07x

Return Distribution

Normal distribution of potential portfolio returns